Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.035850 0.038686 0.041660 0.045016 0.048703 0.052636 0.057157
2025-04-13 0.031628 0.035689 0.040184 0.045546 0.051794 0.058874 0.067547
2025-04-20 0.028509 0.033255 0.038722 0.045527 0.053825 0.063687 0.076399
2025-04-27 0.026508 0.031766 0.038026 0.046097 0.056322 0.068978 0.086033
2025-05-04 0.024557 0.030089 0.036858 0.045844 0.057606 0.072678 0.093786
2025-05-11 0.022984 0.028713 0.035893 0.045675 0.058855 0.076284 0.101569
2025-05-18 0.021605 0.027458 0.034949 0.045397 0.059848 0.079515 0.108989
2025-05-25 0.020474 0.026432 0.034207 0.045288 0.060993 0.082950 0.116891
2025-06-01 0.019274 0.025227 0.033131 0.044614 0.061248 0.085076 0.122962
2025-06-08 0.018133 0.024031 0.031984 0.043741 0.061114 0.086570 0.128118
2025-06-15 0.017248 0.023133 0.031189 0.043301 0.061553 0.088894 0.134696
2025-06-22 0.016457 0.022320 0.030461 0.042898 0.061993 0.091206 0.141394
2025-06-29 0.015575 0.021343 0.029457 0.042038 0.061691 0.092362 0.146324
2025-07-06 0.015145 0.020995 0.029342 0.042504 0.063470 0.096940 0.157455
2025-07-13 0.014613 0.020467 0.028932 0.042481 0.064455 0.100268 0.166680
2025-07-20 0.014264 0.020192 0.028879 0.043004 0.066340 0.105209 0.179239
2025-07-27 0.013747 0.019639 0.028374 0.042772 0.066946 0.107988 0.188029
2025-08-03 0.013284 0.019146 0.027936 0.042616 0.067659 0.110982 0.197479
2025-08-10 0.012828 0.018643 0.027457 0.042360 0.068173 0.113640 0.206496
2025-08-17 0.012436 0.018222 0.027085 0.042260 0.068941 0.116795 0.216790
2025-08-24 0.011952 0.017638 0.026427 0.041640 0.068743 0.118132 0.223451
2025-08-31 0.011456 0.017017 0.025684 0.040836 0.068160 0.118692 0.228508
2025-09-07 0.011072 0.016559 0.025188 0.040431 0.068278 0.120592 0.236616